Attribution of regional-scale temperature changes to anthropogenic and natural causes

Attribution of stratospheric ozone and temperature changes

Contributions of natural and anthropogenic forcing to changes in temperature extremes over the United States

[1] Observations averaged over the U.S. for the second half of the 20th century have shown a decrease of frost days, an increase in growing season length, an increase in the number of warm nights, and an increase in heat wave intensity. For the first three, a nine member multi-model ensemble shows similar changes over the U.S. in 20th century experiments that combine anthropogenic and natural f...

Global-scale Attribution of Anthropogenic and Natural Dust Sources and Their Emission Rates Based on Modis Deep Blue Aerosol Products

[1] Our understanding of the global dust cycle is limited by a dearth of information about dust sources, especially small-scale features which could account for a large fraction of global emissions. Here we present a global-scale highresolution (0.1 ) mapping of sources based on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Deep Blue estimates of dust optical depth in conjunction with o...

Attribution of cyclogenesis region sea surface temperature change to anthropogenic influence

[1] Previous research has identified links between tropical cyclone activity and sea surface temperatures in the tropical cyclogenesis regions of the North Atlantic and Western North Pacific. Other work has demonstrated that warming in these regions is inconsistent with simulated internal variability. After evaluating the variability of a suite of climate models on a range of timescales, we use...

Attribution of Seasonal and Regional Changes in Arctic Moisture Convergence

Spatial and temporal changes in high-latitude moisture convergence simulated by the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3) are investigated. Moisture convergence is calculated using the aerological method with model fields of specific humidity and winds spanning the periods from 1960 to 1999 and 2070 to 2089. The twenty-first century incorpora...